Nani Scorecard: 43% Hit Rate, 1.63x Recent Average

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Nani: 43% hit rate, 1.63x last five average
Nani
Nani. Photo: Film Companion South, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons.

By the numbers

  • Films: 46 since 2005; 25 in the last ten years (cameos and guest appearances not counted)
  • Recent films with figures: 7 of 14 since 2018
  • Hits: 3 (2 blockbusters), average: 2, flops: 2 – a hit rate of 43%
  • Average return: 2.30x budget; best: The Lion King 6.65x; weakest: The Paradise 1.09x
  • Biggest hit: The Lion King (2019), ₹13,795 cr
  • Trend: last five films 1.63x on average, the five before 3.98x (down)
  • Born: 1984-02-24
Year Film Budget Box office Return Verdict
2026 The Paradise ₹90 cr ₹98 cr 1.09x Flop
2024 Saripodhaa Sanivaaram ₹40 cr ₹102 cr 2.54x Blockbuster
2023 Hi Nanna ₹65 cr ₹75 cr 1.16x Flop
2023 Dasara ₹65 cr ₹121 cr 1.86x Hit
2022 Meet Cute – – – No figures
2022 Ante Sundaraniki ₹30 cr ₹45 cr 1.50x Average
2021 Shyam Singha Roy ₹50 cr ₹65 cr 1.30x Average
2021 Tuck Jagadish – – – No figures
2020 V ₹25 cr – – No figures
2019 The Lion King ₹2,075 cr ₹13,795 cr 6.65x Blockbuster
2019 Nani’s Gang Leader – – – No figures
2018 Bigg Boss 2 – – – No figures
2018 Awe – ₹13 cr – No figures
2018 Devadas – ₹48 cr – No figures
Budget and worldwide box office as listed on each film’s English Wikipedia page on 26 September 2026; figures in crore rupees, dollar figures converted at ₹83. ScreenStat’s rule: blockbuster at 2.5x budget or more, hit at 1.75x, average at 1.25x, flop below. Films without both figures are not judged. Cameos, guest and special appearances (14) are not counted.

Nani’s filmography is a case study in the economics of the Telugu mid-budget star. The page lists 46 films, with 25 in the last decade and a run from a 2005 debut to a 2026 release, but only seven entries in the table above carry enough budget and gross data to score. As of 26 September 2026, those seven produce a 43% hit rate and a 2.3 average multiple.

What the numbers say

The headline read is simple: the record works when the budget is moderate and gets thin when the spend rises. Across the seven scored films, the page reports a 43% hit rate and a 2.3 average multiple. But the average is lifted by one very large entry, while the recent run points the other way. Several titled films — Devadas, Awe, Bigg Boss 2, Nani’s Gang Leader, V, Tuck Jagadish and Meet Cute — carry no budget, no gross or no multiple in the table; Wikipedia carries none, so they cannot be scored.

The hits and the misses

The biggest return in the dataset is The Lion King (2019): Rs 2,075 crore budget against Rs 13,794.6 crore gross, for a 6.65 multiple and a “Blockbuster” verdict. That entry sits oddly inside a Nani filmography, but it is the table’s best multiple and biggest hit as listed. The strongest Nani-titled Telugu film in the recent data is Saripodhaa Sanivaaram (2024), which turned Rs 40 crore into Rs 101.51 crore — a 2.54 multiple. The weakest return is The Paradise (2026): Rs 90 crore budget, Rs 98.5 crore gross, a 1.09 multiple and a “Flop” verdict.

The trend

The recent five scored films average a 1.63 multiple, against 3.98 for the five before. The recent set runs from Ante Sundaraniki at 1.5, through Dasara at 1.86, Hi Nanna at 1.16 and Saripodhaa Sanivaaram at 2.54, to The Paradise at 1.09. The previous five are not fully itemised in the table above, but their 3.98 average is inflated by the 6.65 from The Lion King. Remove that entry and the picture changes from a star who opens to a business where margins are tightening.

What it means for the next film and for the industry

For Nani’s next film, the target should be cost discipline. The Paradise is the warning: a Rs 90 crore budget with a Rs 98.5 crore gross leaves a 1.09 multiple — recovery with little room for profit. Saripodhaa Sanivaaram is the model: Rs 40 crore in, Rs 101.51 crore out, 2.54 times return. Dasara sits in between at 1.86 on a Rs 65 crore budget and Rs 121 crore gross.

For the industry, the scorecard argues for the mid-budget Telugu film as a slate strategy. A star who can carry Rs 40-65 crore productions to a 1.5-2.5 times return is more useful than an expensive swing that barely recovers. The caveat is consistency: a 2.3 overall average and 1.63 recent average say the floor is real but the upside is narrowing.

Figures: Nani filmography on Wikipedia and each film’s page, read on 26 September 2026.


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